The Internet could go down in 2010

[Larwee]

A lot of people try to predict the future and most of them aren't very good at it. Some might do a better job of it when they have some useful research information to try to help them.

Nemertes Research Group has completed a study on the Internet’s infrastructure and capacity. They say an ‘Internet Exaflood’, capable of bringing down the Internet, could happen in 2010. That is a lot sooner than it might sound.

Nemertes Research Group says it will take 137 billion dollars to keep the quality of service levels where they are today and continue to improve rather than declining.

The problem is the bandwidth demand caused by rich media applications plus Blackberry, cell phone and gaming accessory access to the Internet. All of this is quickly accelerating consumption of Internet bandwidth.

According to the report, if nothing is done, “the Internet’s capacity will not likely accommodate user demand”, and there will be frequent Internet interruptions.

The report goes on to say that inadequate infrastructure will slow down the pace of innovation.

Hopefully everything possible will be done to prevent this prediction from becoming true.

Here are some articles which contain more details:

iTWire - Internet to go down in 2010?

The Journal Times Online > Opinion > Let’s avoid being caught by Net

Surfing speed expected to slow | IndyStar.com

[Linda Buquet]

Ohhhh noooo tell me it isn't so!
I just don't even know what I'd do.
I'm sure something will happen in the meantime though.

[Chet]

2010 is not that far away at all...
But yet it still sounds like something out of a science fiction flick.

[Larwee]

The good thing about studies such as this is that it helps to make people aware of situations so that something can be done.

The Internet plays a very big role in the economy of the United States as well as many other countries. There is too much involved for this to be ignored. Something is certain to be done to see to it that things are as smooth as possible.

Growth can cause all types of problems. Over time, many areas have found their road system wasn't enough to handle to expanding population and building. They needed more road and highways. They would have have major problems if they had just left things they way they were.

The same holds true with the Internet. Things are starting to get to the point where there will be more than the "roads" can handle. Knowing about a problem before the last minute allows time to do something and the study reported what would happen if nothing is done and it is very doubtful that nothing will be done. Many are now aware of the problem and that improves the chances of something being done while there is still time to do it.

[Arun Lakhera]

I went through the three reports referred by Larwee and analyzed that ‘Internet Exaflood’ will start in two to three years. It is not end but start to an end.